Will House Prices continue To Rise?

House Prices Rise But So Does Cost Of Living

This week, the BBC Has reported that the average UK house price hit a new record in April but that growth is set to slow this year. This is due to inflation and interest rates rising. Best Conveyancing Quotes HERE

The Halifax reported the following:

  • House prices increased by 1.1% in April
  • The tenth consecutive monthly rise, the longest run since 2016
  • House prices are up £47,568 over the last two years
  • Average property price reaches another new record high of £286,079
  • Northern Ireland now the UK area with strongest house price inflation
  • The rate of house price growth still expected to slow as incomes squeezed

While it reported prices had grown for 10 months in a row (the longest run since 2016), they said “the headwinds facing the wider economy cannot be ignored”. Huge rises in the cost of living and higher interest rates will squeeze household budgets, the mortgage lender predicted.

The Halifax also said that house prices had risen by 10.8% in a year, taking the average value to £286,079.

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Interest rates

On Thursday, the Bank of England warned of an economic downturn as it raised interest rates to the highest level in 13 years. Homeowners on fixed-rate mortgages have been protected from rate rises so far, the Halifax said. This is despite the house price to income ratio being at its highest ever level.

In the short-term, property sales and purchases and mortgage approvals are still above pre-pandemic levels, and the Halifax expects the market to remain consistent for now. House prices are rising because there are more people looking to buy than there are properties for sale.

The biggest demand is for larger, family homes, rather than smaller properties such as flats.

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Examining Rates Of House Price Growth.

The property market has continued to defy expectations in recent times, with the rate of house price growth accelerating since the end of the Stamp Duty holiday last year. 

Average house prices are now up by £47,568 over the last two years. To put this in context, it took the previous five and half years to make an equivalent leap (+£47,689 between October 2014 and April 2020). Indeed, average house prices have fallen in just four months since the start of the pandemic. 

The average monthly gain of 0.9% during the past year is more than double the typical monthly increase seen over the previous decade. The rate of annual growth fell slightly to 10.8% (from 11.1%), though this partly reflects the strength of the market 12 months ago. At the current rate of growth, it raises the prospect of a typical home hitting £300,000 by the end of this year. 

However, as outlined above, such a prospect remains unlikely given the forecast economic conditions.

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Housing Demand

Halifax said housing demand is focused on larger family homes rather than smaller properties such as flats, with the price of detached and semi-detached properties rising 12% annually, compared with 7.1% for apartments.

Northern Ireland has overtaken the south-west of England as the UK’s strongest performer in terms of house price rises, up 14.9% year on year to £182,565. The average property in the south-west rose at 14.8% to an average of £301,632.

Wales rose 14.2% to £214,396, an all-time high, while Scotland’s slower growth rate of 8.3% still fuelled a new record average of £196,471.

Greater London continues to show the slowest rate of growth at 6.2%. However, it also has the highest-priced houses in the UK at an average of £537,896.

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